Teams whose 1st-innings death SR fell >20 points below their powerplay SR have won only 57% of those matches this season.
12 of 21 captured fixtures. Loss of momentum in overs 16-20 — even from a hot powerplay start — is a stronger signal of defeat than first-innings total.
The numbers behind the pattern
- Fixtures where 1st-inn decelerated (death SR > 20 below PP)
- 21
- Defended successfully
- 12
- Defence win-rate
- 57%
Most recent fixture this pattern ties to
How this is computed
Cross-tabulated across every captured fixture under /matches. Patterns are recomputed when new ball-by-ball data lands. Source: CricketMind feed, computed by CricketStudio.
Related trends
- Of 4 fixtures with a quiet 1st-innings powerplay (boundaries < 10%), the team batting second won 3.
- When the team batting first finishes with a >180 SR death phase, the chasing team still wins 56% of the time.
- M.Chinnaswamy Stadium: 1-of-5 chases successful, 18% average powerplay-boundary rate.
- Wankhede Stadium: 5-of-7 chases successful, 30% average powerplay-boundary rate.
- Barsapara Cricket Stadium: 0-of-3 chases successful, 27% average powerplay-boundary rate.
Frequently asked
- What is the phase momentum pattern in IPL 2026?
- Teams whose 1st-innings death SR fell >20 points below their powerplay SR have won only 57% of those matches this season.
- What does this phase momentum pattern mean?
- 12 of 21 captured fixtures. Loss of momentum in overs 16-20 — even from a hot powerplay start — is a stronger signal of defeat than first-innings total.
- What numbers support this pattern?
- Fixtures where 1st-inn decelerated (death SR > 20 below PP): 21 · Defended successfully: 12 · Defence win-rate: 57%. Computed by CricketStudio from CricketMind ball-by-ball data across every captured IPL 2026 fixture.